P(doom)
28 points by lumpa 7 hours ago | 8 comments
passive 2 hours ago
This is the closest to my feelings about this entire situation I've ever seen written, covering a lot of the different facets of how stupid and painful it is (though it's been a good week for that kind of post.)
replySince I have incredible respect for Armin and his work, this is very nice to see, and I hope it wakes some other folk up.
1986 2 hours ago
He really elides his thoughts on the "RSI business", wish he could have gone into a bit more depth there. Good post, though.
replychis 24 minutes ago
> I don’t think AI is going to usher in an extinction event. In fact, even if nobody were to slow down, I really don’t think humanity would have much to worry about.
replyI mean sure. If you feel that way then your p doom is zero, and it makes sense to worry about things like market concentration or losing the fun of software engineering.
esafak 54 minutes ago
wtf?? P(doom) relates to https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Existential_risk_from_artifici... How would open source models bring about a MAD between humans and AI? By enabling us to wield aligned AI against nonaligned AI? If so, he should say so, and elaborate how open source models further that goal.
reply
OpenAI and Anthropic spend much time warning us about “what if powerful AIs got into the wrong hands?”
But it’s already in the wrong hands.