Preliminary of course, but seems to be slower than Jev and similar to Mercury Decides latency, though not in growing linearly with the amount of input (346ms p50 and 860ms p95, (Mercury Decide also had some extremes up to 1,3s that were around 800ms today, likely preview related, it scaled far more consistently with size)), less "confidence" concerning my ambiguous UI component and response shape specific tasks (have very specific use cases for these models which Luna often fails to meet at 0.6 and lower), lead to a few failed calls which neither competitor had (4 vs 0 for both) and measured more expensive than Jev to boot by a factor of 3,1 times on average (Mercury Decide pricing I think is still unknown so no numbers there).
Basically slower, more expensive and less capable than Jev, roughly on par with Mercury Decide (provided, in my insane set of use cases and requirements that are a PKM focused Firefox fork with multiple infinite canvas using decision models to improve information synthesis from multiple sources).
Seems a bit undercooked overall and I'd rather frontier-labs don't jump on bandwagons until they can offer something competitive in price, performance or both. In fairness, though, I have yet to test image input, maybe that makes all the difference. Also, again, mine is unlikely to reflect everyones use case, so interested in seeing others results.
Didn't comment at the time, but having read up on Devday after the fact, there seems to have been a lot of that going around. Notion and GDocs, Jev, Muse, most seems to have been cloned from existing competitors (and despite infinite, ultrafast, ultra code tokens with unsandboxed Mega Astra not that amazing to boot).
Prefer less announcements, but focused and at a higher quality. Considering ChatGPT Atlas (their Chromium based browser) and its insanely fast death, I'd be skeptical to put much into any of these even if they were in some way an improvement over what is out there. Maybe focus on a fresh pre-train and some sandboxing improvements.
Ran every task twice on each model, some were for some UI component synthesis and charting insanity that is a bit hard to explain, but some were simple tag selection, basic noul at threshold 60%, whether to use the provided tag given the title of a browser tile:
1. Title: "Mortgage calculator: estimate your monthly payment (Bankrate)"
Tag: "house hunting"
Jev: 0.69 (yes), 0.72 (yes)
Luna: 0.21 (no), 0.21 (no)
2. Title: "S&P 500 index: live chart and news (Bloomberg)"
Tag: "investing"
Jev: 0.91 (yes), 0.90 (yes)
Luna: 0.56 (no), 0.56 (no)
Of course, tags can be a bit subjective, but in these cases, I'd argue the values provided by Jev were far more representative of my subjective assessment over Lunas. If SnP stuff on Bloomberg isn't investing, nothing is.Goal for tagging is mainly a near instant, over writable, sane default provided to users in the background. Resolve the whole "I love using Notion/Obsidian/PKM software of your choice but spend 80% of my time just thinking about the ideal tag before starting to read" issue. Lunas output is not really helpful here.
How these models play out is an open question but existing provider contracts and T&C are important for enterprise.
Still surprised they even leveraged Luna for this. Given their resources in data, compute and manpower, would training a decision model from scratch take that much longer to not make sense given the cost, compute and performance advantages that would likely provide?
3 times more expensive at twice the latency with lower performance is a tough sell, though yeah, prior relationships will likely smooth some of those deficiencies over.
Out of no where Jev appeared as the next round of the price wars. Jev showed the value of System One models. A fast yes/no/confidence score not only is cheaper but also often all people want. Open source versions flood hugging face and now the big players are giving up a potentially big driver of output tokens to keep customers and race to the bottom price wise.
If I were OpenAI or Anthropic I’d be racing to make their products as sticky as possible bc ppl will flock to what’s cheapest otherwise.
Hopefully people will flock to whatever product is making its mission to be commodity and the easiest to replace. Really don't want another free ingress, 100$/TB egress Cloud situation.
Interesting to see where all this leads us and if other major labs follow suit
Edit: decisions voice looks really interesting as well[1]
[0]: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=49802161: OpenAI is well positioned to fast-follow Jev
[1]: https://developers.openai.com/api/docs/guides/decisions-voic...
Running a decision model is way easier and much cheaper. Are they really just trying to capitalize on the hype here? It feels like they really have absolutely zero moat.
You could ask the same question about why anyone would rent a VPS. I can just run my own hardware, it's just a computer!
Buy vs rent is not just about what's possible, it's about what's economic.
Anyone using a decision model like this is going to have to spin up their own evals - these are far harder to vibe-check than regular text output LLMs.
Going to be all about branding and platform stickiness for OpenAI to make investors and creditors whole.
There are probably a lot more reasons.
Add in a bunch of model governance and oversight for anything you train yourself and it’s pretty much a slam dunk deal.
(I turned this all into a new llm plugin: https://github.com/simonw/llm-openai-decisions)